My Predictions

I beautified this from an earlier version. I made predictions for each of the 57 House races I wrote about previously, along with competitive races for Senator and Governor. I made several unconventional predictions, but I figure I got all my bad predictions out of the way during the playoffs (that's how these things work, right?).

House

Democrats: 20 seats
AZ-8
CO-7
CT-4
CT-5
GA-8
IL-8
IN-7
IN-8
IA-1
IA-3
NM-1
NY-20
NY-24
NC-11
OH-15
OH-18
PA-7
PA-10
VT-AL
WV-1

Republicans: 37 seats
AZ-1
AZ-5
CA-4
CA-11
CO-4
CT-2
FL-13
FL-16
FL-22
GA-12
ID-1
IL-6
IN-2
IN-9
KY-2
KY-3
KY-4
MN-1
MN-6
NV-2
NV-3
NH-2
NJ-7
NY-19
NY-25
NY-26
NY-29
OH-1
OH-2
OH-12
PA-4
PA-6
PA-8
TX-22
VA-2
WA-8
WI-8

As seven of these seats were already held by dems (or dem-leaning socialist independent Bernie Sanders), this is a net gain of 13 for the Democrats, just short of winning the House. Yeah, it's crazy, I'm actually predicting the Republicans to hold the House. Unless I'm right, that is -- then I'm genius.

The 10 races I called for each party in which I'm least confident in my prediction:
For the Democrats:
CT-4, CT-5, GA-8, IL-8, IN-8, NM-1, NY-20, NY-24, NC-11, OH-15
For the Republicans:
CA-11, CT-2, FL-16, FL-22, GA-12, IN-2, KY-3, NH-2, PA-6, TX-22


Senate

Republicans will win:
Arizona
Maryland
Missouri
Montana
Tennessee
Virginia


Democrats will win:
Michigan
Minnesota
New Jersey
Ohio
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
Washington

As eight of these seats belong to Republicans and five to the Democrats, it's a net pickup of two for the Dems. I think Santorum will break 45 in Pennsylvania, and I really want him to win, but it seems like he'll stop short.

The three races for each side in which I have the least confidence in my prediction:
For Republicans: Maryland, Montana, Virginia
For Democrats: Ohio, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island



Governors

Republicans will win:
Alaska
Florida
Idaho
Maryland
Minnesota
Nevada


Democrats will win:
Arkansas
Colorado
Illinois
Iowa
Massachusetts
New York
Ohio
Oregon
Wisconsin


This gives the Democrats a gain of five governorships, and will give them a majority (27-23) for those who care about such things.

The two races for each side in which I have the least confidence in my prediction:
For Republicans: Maryland, Minnesota
For Democrats: Iowa, Wisconsin